Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 0.027879 0.029986 0.032103 0.034386 0.036776 0.039201 0.041845
2025-12-21 0.023252 0.026487 0.029858 0.033621 0.037691 0.041948 0.046726
2025-12-28 0.021240 0.025214 0.029466 0.034324 0.039695 0.045425 0.051975
2026-01-04 0.019360 0.023830 0.028719 0.034418 0.040834 0.047791 0.055860
2026-01-11 0.017712 0.022538 0.027926 0.034319 0.041632 0.049672 0.059116
2026-01-18 0.016778 0.021973 0.027875 0.034984 0.043224 0.052387 0.063259
2026-01-25 0.015557 0.020979 0.027249 0.034914 0.043913 0.054031 0.066156
2026-02-01 0.014497 0.020106 0.026701 0.034877 0.044591 0.055623 0.068960
2026-02-08 0.013523 0.019277 0.026153 0.034790 0.045169 0.057068 0.071570
2026-02-15 0.012622 0.018485 0.025604 0.034662 0.045662 0.058386 0.074012
2026-02-22 0.011841 0.017802 0.025151 0.034614 0.046223 0.059763 0.076507
2026-03-01 0.010960 0.016942 0.024436 0.034208 0.046320 0.060566 0.078309
2026-03-08 0.009986 0.015948 0.023556 0.033623 0.046246 0.061233 0.080048
2026-03-15 0.008995 0.014887 0.022559 0.032865 0.045949 0.061636 0.081489
2026-03-22 0.008671 0.014720 0.022710 0.033558 0.047446 0.064207 0.085538
2026-03-29 0.008143 0.014235 0.022412 0.033650 0.048174 0.065832 0.088441
2026-04-05 0.007586 0.013675 0.021988 0.033553 0.048642 0.067126 0.090935
2026-04-12 0.007337 0.013549 0.022141 0.034208 0.050068 0.069603 0.094882
2026-04-19 0.006859 0.013055 0.021764 0.034139 0.050547 0.070896 0.097373
2026-04-26 0.006426 0.012602 0.021424 0.034102 0.051056 0.072217 0.099895
2026-05-03 0.006007 0.012147 0.021062 0.034017 0.051488 0.073433 0.102283
2026-05-10 0.005604 0.011694 0.020682 0.033890 0.051852 0.074556 0.104550
2026-05-17 0.005251 0.011300 0.020369 0.033843 0.052310 0.075791 0.106958